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512 active dossiers11 confirmed20 debunked36 closedLast audit 25 mins ago
Dossier TL-B714Status: Under investigationOpened 10 Oct 2026

Expected window: January 2027

Murillo to Manchester United

Last update: 24 days ago

Evidence score

Evidence score
Verdict

Murillo could move from Nottingham Forest to Manchester United in January. The player, a centre-back under contract until June 2030, has been tracked by United as a defensive target.

Independent sources
2
verified outlets
Repeated by
5
outlets, not first-hand
Denials
0
dispute the claim
Deal stage
interest
7 outlets
How the score is calculated
  • Independent sources20/40

    2 independent sources (max 4); 5 other outlets only repeat someone else's reporting

  • Source track record14/25

    55% estimated accuracy (5 past cases, small samples are pulled towards 40%)

  • Deal stage0/25

    Stage: interest

  • How recent7/10

    Last update 24 days ago

What we know

Murillo could move from Nottingham Forest to Manchester United in January. The player, a centre-back under contract until June 2030, has been tracked by United as a defensive target.

The story began on 7 Oct, when Football365 reported United had Murillo on their radar, with Dean Jones of Tribal Football cited as the source. On 8 Oct, four outlets — FootballTransfers, Yahoo Sports, TEAMtalk and Football365 — all ran with interest, each attributing the claim to TEAMtalk. On 9 Oct, MSN and MSN South Africa added that Forest were determined to hold on, while another MSN piece stated Forest had made up their mind on selling in January. Football365 also noted on 9 Oct that Forest were not planning to sell, with United targeting a longer-term move. MSN says Forest are determined to keep hold, and Football365 says they are not planning to sell.

Only TEAMtalk adds that United are regarded as the most eager to add defensive options in January, having tracked him extensively.

Key findings

  • Earliest report on file: 3 Oct 2026, CaughtOffside, citing Football Insider (not among the sources).
  • 2 independent sources behind it (TEAMtalk, TribalFootball.com); 5 other outlets only repeat earlier reporting.
  • Best-rated independent source: TEAMtalk.
  • Deal stage reached by a counted source: interest.
  • 1 report attributes the story to Dean Jones for Tribal Football, whose own article is not among the sources.
  • 1 report attributes the story to Football Insider, whose own article is not among the sources.
  • No source denies the move.
  • Latest evidence: 24 days ago.

Who reported it

OutletTierWhat they saidTrack recordChecked
TEAMtalk
09/10/2026
Tier 2 · Established

Manchester United are regarded as the most eager to add defensive options in January, having tracked him extensively

Stage: interest

5 of 5 cases · 100%Original source
TribalFootball.com
06/10/2026
Tier 3 · Secondary

They have certainly been monitoring him and remain ambitious about the possibility of signing him if it becomes possible

Stage: interest

No history yetOriginal source
Yahoo Sports
09/10/2026
Tier 2 · Established

Forest are taking a firm line on Murillo with any winter exit requiring an exceptional offer and remaining highly unlikely

Stage: interest

1 of 3 cases · 33%Cites TEAMtalk
Football365
09/10/2026
Tier 2 · Established

Forest not planning to sell Murillo in January, United targeting longer-term move

Stage: interest

1 case, no percentage yetRepeats another outlet
Football365
07/10/2026
Tier 2 · Established

Murillo remains on United's radar heading into next year, though Everton standout Jarrad Branthwaite is also being considered.

Stage: interest

1 case, no percentage yetCites Dean Jones for Tribal Football (not in this dossier)
Yahoo Sports
06/10/2026
Tier 2 · Established

Manchester United is monitoring Murillo and remains ambitious about signing him next summer to bolster their defence.

Stage: interest

1 of 3 cases · 33%Cites TribalFootball.com
FootballTransfers
10/10/2026
Tier 3 · Secondary

Man Utd have joined Liverpool and Chelsea in tracking the former Corinthians player ahead of January

Fee quoted: £80 million

Stage: interest

No history yetCites TEAMtalk
MSN
10/10/2026
Tier 3 · Secondary

Manchester United is among clubs interested in Murillo, with Nottingham Forest determined to hold on.

Stage: interest

No history yetRepeats another outlet
MSN
10/10/2026
Tier 3 · Secondary

Nottingham Forest have made up their mind on selling Murillo to Manchester United in the January transfer window

Stage: interest

No history yetRepeats another outlet
FootballTransfers
09/10/2026
Tier 3 · Secondary

Nottingham Forest will only consider exceptional offers for Murillo in January, TEAMtalk claims

Stage: interest

No history yetCites TEAMtalk
CaughtOffside
03/10/2026
Tier 3 · Secondary

Manchester United could revive their interest in Nottingham Forest defender Murillo as they look to strengthen their defensive options ahead of the 2027 summer transfer window.

Stage: interest

2 cases, no percentage yetCites Football Insider (not in this dossier)

Timeline

  1. 10 Oct 2026 · FootballTransfers
    Man Utd have joined Liverpool and Chelsea in tracking the former Corinthians player ahead of January

    Repeats reporting attributed to TEAMtalk. Stage: interest

  2. 10 Oct 2026 · MSN
    Manchester United is among clubs interested in Murillo, with Nottingham Forest determined to hold on.

    Repeats reporting from another outlet. Stage: interest

  3. 10 Oct 2026 · MSN
    Nottingham Forest have made up their mind on selling Murillo to Manchester United in the January transfer window

    Repeats reporting from another outlet. Stage: interest

  4. 09 Oct 2026 · FootballTransfers
    Nottingham Forest will only consider exceptional offers for Murillo in January, TEAMtalk claims

    Repeats reporting attributed to TEAMtalk. Stage: interest

  5. 09 Oct 2026 · Yahoo Sports
    Forest are taking a firm line on Murillo with any winter exit requiring an exceptional offer and remaining highly unlikely

    Repeats reporting attributed to TEAMtalk. Stage: interest

  6. 09 Oct 2026 · TEAMtalk
    Manchester United are regarded as the most eager to add defensive options in January, having tracked him extensively

    First-hand report. Stage: interest

  7. 09 Oct 2026 · Football365
    Forest not planning to sell Murillo in January, United targeting longer-term move

    Repeats reporting from another outlet. Stage: interest

  8. 07 Oct 2026 · Football365
    Murillo remains on United's radar heading into next year, though Everton standout Jarrad Branthwaite is also being considered.

    Repeats reporting attributed to Dean Jones for Tribal Football (its own article is not in this dossier). Stage: interest

  9. 06 Oct 2026 · Yahoo Sports
    Manchester United is monitoring Murillo and remains ambitious about signing him next summer to bolster their defence.

    Repeats reporting attributed to TribalFootball.com. Stage: interest

  10. 06 Oct 2026 · TribalFootball.com
    They have certainly been monitoring him and remain ambitious about the possibility of signing him if it becomes possible

    First-hand report. Stage: interest

  11. 03 Oct 2026 · CaughtOffside
    Manchester United could revive their interest in Nottingham Forest defender Murillo as they look to strengthen their defensive options ahead of the 2027 summer transfer window.

    Repeats reporting attributed to Football Insider (its own article is not in this dossier). Stage: interest

Does Manchester United need him?

Centre-Back: the centre-backs Manchester United already have, from their squad list, and who they brought in there over the last two seasons. Facts only: we do not judge the need.

Current centre-backs (5, 2 with a year or less left)

PlayerPositionAgeContract
Lisandro MartínezCentre-Back2830 Jun 2027
Leny YoroCentre-Back2030 Jun 2029
Ayden HeavenCentre-Back2030 Jun 2029
Matthijs de LigtCentre-Back2630 Jun 2029
Harry MaguireCentre-Back3330 Jun 2027

Recent signings in this position

  • Tyler Fredricson (Centre-Back)· no longer in the squad2025/26 · from Manchester United U21 · fee undisclosed

Is it still alive?

First report
03 Oct 2026
Latest report
10 Oct 2026 (23 days ago)
Transfer window
January 2027: shuts in 91 days

The window the reports point to. If the move has not happened 10 days after it shuts, the dossier closes as not done.

No new reporting for over three weeks: the story is going cold.

Contract and fee

Contract until
June 2030
Reported fee
€93.6m
Fee check
Above what players like him usually cost
€93.6m
Asking price

“£80 million (FootballTransfers)”

Outlets quoting
1
Confidence
Single source

Converted to euros at approximate fixed rates. Outlets that only repeat another outlet's figure do not count as corroboration.

Score over time

12 Oct · 4101 Nov · 41

Player profile

Full name
Murillo Santiago Costa dos Santos
Age
24
Agent
FWD Team

Photo: SOCCER DIGITAL, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; resized and cropped.

Full player profile: contract and career moves →

Clubs in this move